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Ken Fabian's avatar

These well researched findings - much appreciated, Lucy - seem to confirm my much more superficial impressions - and unfortunately public opinion is highly susceptible to superficial impressions.

Labor leans right to win over disaffected Liberals (and the donor class) whilst Liberals lean further right to win back other disaffected Liberals - especially Donor class Liberals. That the current lot would seriously contemplate alliance with furthest right seems in line with Biggest Donor class goals, which are perhaps less inclined to loyalty and preservation of Liberal Party dominance as the Politician class would prefer.

In all of it notions of the greater good - policy to address the hard problems methodically for lasting results for the most people - are set aside for political gamesmanship for appearances. And public opinion is mutable and susceptible to a whole range of influences and influencers that have no overarching commitment to doing the analysis (due diligence) and being led by it (duty of care) to any greater good. Even climate modeling looks straightforward and logical in comparison to modeling public opinion and it's forcings.

'Sounds compelling' beats 'compelling because it is sound' when the commentariat treat the public as gullible marks and preferentially targets their ‘hot buttons’ in the knowledge that angry, resentful people don’t fact check. I’m not so sure feeding and fueling distrust and resentments started as intention but, rather, has been an emergent outcome that the self interested have learned to take advantage of. Advertising as an industry is effectively amoral and most media is an advertising industry; they probably should not be allowed to engage in any public policy debates, for conflicts of interest.

Without good information and the trust in good intentions - to invert that annoying and wrong homily about them - we are upgrading the shortcuts to hell into motorways.

Simon Cox's avatar

Compare with the view in 2017:

https://x.com/TimWilsonMP/status/934944535062331393

> Bob Borbidge is right: any association with One Nation is toxic. They are not allies or friends of the Liberal Party. They feed on discontent. They have no solutions for the future of Australia.

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